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Non-Agency MBS Ratings Disconnected From Defaults

July 10, 2025
Brandon Ivey
Researchers tracked ratings and defaults on non-agency MBS between 2013 and 2022, finding that Morningstar’s ratings were more conservative than ratings from the big three firms. However, Morningstar’s ratings produced more “false alarms” about potential defaults than the big firms.
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MBS and ABS Investors Largely Positive Amid Boom

October 24, 2024
Brandon Ivey
Attendance at the ABS East conference hit another record this week, with investors showing strong demand for structured finance products. Issuance is expected to remain elevated, helped by interest rate moves.
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Strong Appetite for Non-QMs, Both Whole Loans and MBS

October 24, 2024
Brandon Ivey
Issuance of MBS with non-qualified mortgages is growing even as insurance companies increase their purchases of non-QMs as whole loans. Investor demand for the products looks likely to remain strong.
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Hurricanes Pose Hiccups for Non-Agency MBS Deals

October 10, 2024
Brandon Ivey
Non-agency MBS issuers typically ensure properties in the deal are damage free. That standard can be difficult to achieve if a hurricane strikes while the deal is still in the works.
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CMBS Facing Most Pressure in MBS and ABS Market

October 3, 2024
Brandon Ivey
Delinquencies are projected to increase across asset classes, though some sectors will be hit harder than others.
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Stable Forecast for Residential MBS; CMBS, Not So Much

July 11, 2024
Dennis Hollier
Fitch Ratings sees relatively smooth sailing for residential MBS this year while times are tough in the CMBS market, and the worst could be yet to come.
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Unsuccessful GSE Loans Packaged in Non-Agency MBS

April 25, 2024
Dennis Hollier
loanDepot is preparing to issue a non-agency MBS stocked with scratch-and-dent mortgages.
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First Republic’s Ties to the Non-Agency MBS Market

May 4, 2023
Brandon Ivey
At one point, First Republic Bank was a major contributor to non-agency MBS. In recent years, the bank retained its production, though JPMorgan Chase could move to sell the loans.
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Single-Family Rental Securitizations Face Challenges

April 20, 2023
Brandon Ivey
The notion that the single-family rental market can flourish whether the housing market is hot or struggling is being put to the test. Kroll Bond Rating Agency cautioned that upgrades of SFR securitizations will be limited in the near term.
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RMBS Outlook Dour, Performance Good Though

November 23, 2022
Sam Manas
KBRA said that third-quarter MBS issuance volume didn’t meet its expectations and will drop rapidly in the coming year. Meanwhile, both DBRS and Moody’s noted that performance is stabilizing. 
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