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Changes Proposed by S&P to Non-Agency MBS Rating Criteria Would Favor Prime Mortgages

April 28, 2017
S&P Global Ratings proposed changes this week to its criteria for rating non-agency MBS. The changes would provide higher ratings to certain tranches of non-agency MBS backed by new prime mortgages while prompting lower ratings for new issuance backed by seasoned mortgages. The rating service is considering a number of adjustments to foreclosure assumptions, loss severity projections and changes relating to the evaluation of qualitative factors. “The proposed revisions to our methodologies and assumptions are...
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Moody’s, Fitch Pummel Ocwen with Downgrades Following Legal Actions by CFPB, State Regulators

April 28, 2017
Ocwen Financial’s travails continued to worsen this week after rating agencies announced adverse ratings actions amid the servicer’s mounting regulatory and legal problems. On April 24, Moody’s Investors Service placed Ocwen’s servicer assessment on review for a possible downgrade. On April 25, Fitch Ratings revised its previous rosy affirmation of the company’s primary servicer rating and stable outlook to negative. Both firms said the ratings actions were due to the increased regulatory scrutiny on Ocwen’s servicing operations, which could lead to hefty penalties that could pose a threat to the company’s financial stability. On April 20, a consortium of state mortgage regulators filed...
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PennyMac Claims Top Rank in Ginnie MBS Production in 1Q17

April 14, 2017
There is a new boss in the Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities market. PennyMac Financial rose to the top of the issuer ranking in the first quarter of 2017 despite a sharp decline in volume, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside FHA/VA Lending. PennyMac issued $10.78 billion of single-family Ginnie securities during the first three months of the year. The figures in this analysis are based on Ginnie loan-level disclosures, which truncate loan amounts to $1,000 increments. PennyMac’s first-quarter production was off 27.9 percent from the fourth quarter of 2016, a slightly bigger decline than the 24.8 percent drop in overall Ginnie issuance. Even though the firm fared slightly worse than the total market, its first-quarter downturn was less severe than Wells Fargo’s. Wells has been the top Ginnie producer for a long time, as well as the top player in most segments of the ... [ Charts ]
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GNMA Officials Attribute Decline in VA Refis to Anti-Churning Policy

April 14, 2017
A steep drop in VA-backed securities issuance in the first quarter of 2017 suggests that Ginnie Mae’s efforts to curb serial refinancing of VA loans are working, according to agency officials. Speaking on a panel at the annual VA Lenders Conference in Kansas City, MO, this week, Ginnie executives said that a change in pooling requirements for streamlined refinance mortgages appears to have curbed a destructive appetite for refinancing new VA loans within six months of closing. The practice has caused faster prepayments in Ginnie mortgage-backed securities pools and smaller payouts to investors. VA refi volume fell 42.7 percent from the previous quarter (see chart on page 2), contributing significantly to the 32.2 percent decline in total VA loan securitization during the period. John Getchis, senior vice president at Ginnie Mae, said he does not think the churning trend will continue because the ...
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Tobacco Settlement Revenues to Back a New $619 Million ABS; Fitch Pulls Away from Sector

April 7, 2017
Golden State Tobacco Securitization Corp. is preparing to issue a $618.8 million ABS backed by revenues from a tobacco settlement reached in 1998. Several states have issued such deals, though the sector received a blow last year when Fitch withdrew its ratings and criteria for tobacco ABS. Under the settlement with 46 states and Washington, DC, the major cigarette manufacturing companies must make payments to each state annually, in perpetuity. The payments are based on cigarette sales, among other factors. At the time of the settlement, the revenues for states were estimated to be $306.0 billion for the first 25 years of the agreement. States can issue...
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Nonprime Lenders Firm Up MBS Plans. Angel Oak Working on a Deal for May as Citadel Targets June.

March 31, 2017
Although agency mortgage lenders are having a challenging start this year, nonprime lenders are seeing volumes increase more than anticipated and are shaping up plans to bring new MBS to market. Angel Oak Mortgage Solutions, Atlanta, and its retail affiliate Angel Oak Home Loans ended the first quarter with just over $220.9 million of mostly non-agency mortgage production. An official at the company described the first quarter as “shaping up well.” The official told...
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Fitch Revises Loss Model for Rating MBS Backed By RPLs and NPLs, Removing Certain Provisions

March 31, 2017
Fitch Ratings updated its rating criteria last week for MBS backed by seasoned mortgages, including re-performing loans and nonperforming loans. The revisions to the criteria removed two standards that Fitch previously applied when analyzing seasoned mortgages. For re-performing mortgages originated before 2009, Fitch will no longer consider the original loan documentation. All mortgages will be treated as though they were originated with full documentation, even if the mortgages were originated with less than full documentation. “In recent years, the distinction in borrower behavior for loans with different original documentation levels has disappeared...
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FHA Jumbo Production Up in 2016, Great Year for VA Jumbo Issuance

March 31, 2017
FHA-insured jumbo lending fell slightly in the fourth quarter of 2016 although year-over-year results were a lot better. Production of conforming-jumbo purchase and refinance loans insured by the FHA slipped 0.9 percent in the fourth quarter, a slight bump on the way to an annual jumbo origination total of $26.9billion. Year-over-year, FHA jumbo production was up 5.6 percent from 2015. Conforming-jumbo loans represented 9.8 percent of FHA loans securitized last year, according to data compiled by affiliated newsletter Inside Mortgage Finance. Purchase mortgages comprised 64.9 percent of jumbo loans insured by FHA in 2016 and 98.7 percent were fixed-rate loans. Nonbanks comprised the top five FHA jumbo lenders. Wells Fargo, which closed the year with $423.8 million in FHA jumbo originations, was in sixth place. Quicken Loans led the field with $802.5 million of ... [ Charts ]
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Fitch Ends 2016 as Top Rating Service in Both Residential MBS and Non-Mortgage ABS

March 24, 2017
Fitch Ratings was the most active provider of credit ratings for non-mortgage ABS and non-agency MBS in 2016, a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis reveals. Fitch edged out Standard & Poor’s in a busy ABS market, garnering a 54.8 percent share of rated transactions last year. The company boosted its ABS ratings business by 4.6 percent compared to 2015, based on dollar volume, nudging its market share up 1.9 percentage points. Fitch’s deepest penetration was...[Includes two data tables]
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Moody’s Weighs Impact of Fannie, Freddie Reform Proposals on Private-Label MBS

March 24, 2017
Housing finance reform, especially if it weakens mortgage underwriting standards, could have a negative impact on private-label MBS as well as the government-sponsored enterprises’ credit risk-transfer transactions, according to a newly published report from Moody’s Investor Services. Analysts said that various reform proposals could reduce the influence that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have in the market and likely increase credit risk in new MBS in the short-term. Combined with a rising interest rate environment, such reform could have a credit-negative effect. Loan origination processes and the kinds of loans produced could become...
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