Private investors in agency MBS could lose $13 billion to $15 billion from a new government effort to help current Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA borrowers refinance, according to a new Congressional Budget Office staff working paper. The Obama administration is expected to announce a revved-up refinance program as part of a new strategy to strengthen economic growth. A “stylized” refinance program analyzed by the CBO would have a relatively small impact on the overall economy, the analysts said. The biggest impact would be on private MBS investors and the estimated 2.9 million households that would likely be brought into the...

The Securities and Exchange Commission is weighing possible changes to a key rule that allows MBS and ABS issuers to avoid being classified as investment companies. Although the agency’s primary focus is on whether it should ditch existing references in the exemption to credit ratings, officials are also looking at other potential changes. Rule 3a-7 was promulgated nearly 20 years ago so that asset-backed securities issuers would not be classified...

The American Securitization Forum this week announced a credit risk-retention model which, it claims, imposes requirements more powerful than those proposed by federal regulators. The “ASF Model Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Principles” spell out steps for investigating, resolving and enforcing remedies in connection with representations and warranties in non-agency MBS transactions involving newly originated mortgages. Essentially, the ASF model requires...

Even as the MBS market warily watches reports that the White House is considering mortgage refinancing as part of a broad effort to stimulate the housing industry and the economy at large, analysts offered mixed assessments of the effectiveness of the most likely option. Industry observers say the most likely scenario would involve a change in the pricing policies of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, a move that would not require...

The Federal Housing Finance Agency this week became among the latest, most influential parties to legally weigh in on the proposed $8.5 billion Bank of America settlement over non-agency mortgage-backed securities.On Aug. 30, the deadline to file objections to the deal, the Finance Agency filed a “Notice of Appearance and Conditional Objection” with the U.S. District Court in Manhattan on behalf of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Judge Rosemary Collyer of the U.S. District Court in Washington, DC, has rebuffed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s effort to dismiss a $10 billion lawsuit filed by a unit of Deutsche Bank AG over pools of mortgage loans made by Washington Mutual that later went bad. Deutsche Bank, as trustee for the securitized pools at issue, filed suit against the FDIC as well as JPMorgan Chase, arguing that one or the other should be liable for losses suffered by the pool from WaMu’s allegedly fraudulent or poorly underwritten residential mortgages. The trusts involved had been investigated by a Senate subcommittee, which revealed that internal reviews performed by WaMu had determined that “loans marked as containing fraudulent information had nevertheless been securitized and sold to investors.”

The recent rancorous debate over raising the debt ceiling brings little hope of relief from the overwhelming amount of regulation coming down the pike. Analysts say the uncertainty has made it more difficult to quantify risks for MBS and other securitized products. Analysts at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch said the outcome of the debate was far worse than expected, forcing them to temper their optimism for securitized products. Instead, they are calling for a more neutral exposure. “The pragmatism we thought we would see never really emerged,” said Chris Flanagan, an analyst with the firm. “Instead ...

Two Harbors Investment Corp. said this week it is “impressed with the investment opportunities” in the non-agency MBS sector, particularly over the next year and beyond and is pushing forward with its plans to begin a securitization program. Thomas Siering, president and CEO of the New York-based real estate investment trust, said during a conference call to discuss the firm’s second quarter earnings that despite the “challenging” non-agency environment in June, there is tremendous opportunity to profit from non-agency MBS issuance throughout the rest of this year into 2012. “The recent pullback in the non-agency market has created...

The Federal Housing Finance Agency said last week to expect further litigation in its ongoing efforts to recover losses suffered by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in connection to the two GSEs’ investments in non-agency securities.Last week, the Finance Agency filed suit against UBS Americas Inc. and various related entities alleging misstatements and omissions of non-agency MBS purchased by Fannie and Freddie.

Trustees of residential MBS should consider themselves “on notice” that they need to be much more attentive and aggressive in meeting their obligations under the pooling and servicing agreements governing MBS trusts, according to a trade group representing investors. Last week, the Association of Mortgage Investors sent letters to several major MBS trustees – including JPMorgan Chase, Deutsche Bank, US Bank, Wells Fargo and Bank of New York – remind-ing them of their legal obligations to RMBS certificate holders. The AMI letter also informed trustees that ...