Moody’s Investors Service is warning that the booming market for subprime auto ABS is poised to potentially overheat as growing demand could push lenders to loosen underwriting standards to boost volume, repeating what occurred during the 1990s. A recent Moody’s report cites emerging parallels between the U.S. subprime auto lending mar-ket today and the early 1990s when investor capital flocked into the sector by charging high loan rates while enjoying low funding costs. When the ‘90s lending boom went bust, net losses in subprime auto ABS jumped from under 3 percent in early 1995 to over 10 percent in 1997, according to Moody’s.

A subsidiary of Credit Suisse Group issued its second non-agency jumbo mortgage-backed security of the year last week. The transaction was backed by $425.09 million of jumbo mortgages, largely originated by MetLife Home Loans, which ceased originations at the beginning of this year. The privately-placed deal – CSMC Trust 2012-CIM2 – received AAA ratings from Standard & Poor’s and DBRS with credit enhancement of 8.25 percent on the AAA tranche. S&P also placed a AAA rating on CSMC Trust 2012-CIM1, the $741.94 million ...

Loan modifications performed on mortgages in bank portfolios perform much better than mods on mortgages included in non-agency mortgage-backed securities, according to an analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets of new data from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The performance varies significantly even as the two types of non-agency mortgages receive the vast majority of principal reduction loan mods. The 12-month re-default rate on mods implemented from 2008 through the first quarter of 2011 was ...

Relatively few repurchase demands on mortgage loans backing non-agency MBS were resolved during the first quarter of 2012, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis of disclosure filings made by 34 securitizers. The securitizers reported that a total of $29.03 billion of loans were in some stage of the process following demands that the mortgages be repurchased because of breaches of representations and warranties by the originator of the loans. But of that amount, some $28.62 billion – 98.6 percent of total activity – were classified...(includes one data chart)

Roughly 27 percent of outstanding Ginnie Mae MBS pools are eligible for the FHA’s revised streamline refinancing program, which could translate to $36 billion in new annual Ginnie Mae issuance, according to a report from Barclays Research. Barclays analysts estimated that about $293.0 billion of Ginnie Mae’s $1 trillion-plus 30-year loan pools were originated before May 2009. About 79 percent of the collateral backing these pools are FHA loans, which suggests that as much as $232.0 billion could qualify...

The gap between the performance and liquidity of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS continues to widen and a proposal to make their securities interchangeable is gaining traction among stakeholders. But unless a workable valuation solution is found, bridging that gap between the two government-sponsored enterprises will remain nearly impossible, said the Mortgage Bankers Association. Pricing differences between Fannie and Freddie have grown...

The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s case against UBS Americas will serve as a test case in a series of lawsuits the agency filed in connection with non-agency MBS purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, a Manhattan federal district court ruled last week. In a June 13 decision, Judge Denise Cote of the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York denied UBS’s request that it should not be the first of 17 cases to proceed because it is not a loan originator and was not accused of fraud. According to the court, UBS was the best test case because the number of securitizations and...

The outstanding volume of single-family agency MBS continued to grow during the first quarter of 2012, accounting for a slightly larger share of the overall mortgage market. Total agency MBS edged up 0.6 percent from the end of 2012 to reach $5.381 trillion – still slightly below the record of $5.430 trillion set at the end of 2009. The agency MBS market declined in early 2010 as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac began buying distressed home loans out of MBS pools. While the agency MBS market was up in the first quarter, the amount of home mortgage debt outstanding continued to decline, dropping...(Includes one data chart)

Moody’s Investors Service announced last week that it is reviewing $47.5 billion in outstanding non-agency mortgage-backed securities for possible rating action. In a change of pace, however, most of the securities are being reviewed for potential upgrades. A whopping 78.3 percent of the combined subprime, Alt A, option ARM and jumbo MBS in question could potentially be upgraded. “The upgrade reviews are due to significant improvement in collateral performance and/or faster-than-expected pay-down on ...

If investors in non-agency mortgage-backed securities had easy access to the addresses of mortgages included in non-agency MBS, the sector’s market share would increase, according to a new proposal by the Reason Foundation, which promotes libertarian principles. “Ignorance of the borrower’s address and identity is a major disadvantage for the residential MBS investor or anyone trying to analyze residential MBS deals,” according to Marc Joffe, a research associate at the Reason Foundation and Anthony Randazzo ...