To reach their statutory minimum capital levels, Fannie and Freddie may only need to accrue an extra $16 billion and $14 billion respectively, based on the size of their current capital buffer plus retained second-quarter earnings.
Not only is FHFA Director Mark Calabria homing in on a roadmap to end the conservatorship of Fannie and Freddie, he clearly believes the exit can take place before the two entities are fully capitalized.
The new capital buffer deal has a limited life. At current earnings rates, Fannie will reach the $25 billion buffer cap in about two years, Freddie a little later.
Analyst Richard Bove thinks the new net worth sweep agreement is just a gimmick because the liquidation preference on Treasury’s preferred stock will offset any increase in the GSEs’ capital buffers.
On the issue of FHFA’s constitutionality, the court ruled for the plaintiffs. But rather than invalidate the net worth sweep, the court struck the “for-cause” provision from HERA.