July 28, 2016

Latest from Inside Mortgage Finance

Total non-mortgage ABS issuance fell by 0.6 percent from the previous quarter according to estimates from Inside MBS & ABS

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Mortgage Originations Spurt to Three-Year High In Second Quarter; Some Report 50 Percent Jump

The mortgage-origination market roared to life during the second quarter of 2016 with an estimated $510 billion in new lending, according to an exclusive new Inside Mortgage Finance analysis and ranking. Nearly all lenders reported hefty increases in production – some 50 percent or more – compared to the first three months of the year. As a group, the top 25 lenders for the second quarter originated 31.7 percent more new loans than in the first three months of the year. The estimated $510 billion in originations during the most recent period was...[Includes two data tables]


The Mortgage M&A Market Is Heating Up, But How Long Can it Last and Will PE Firms Stay Engaged?

Since Monday of this week, four mortgage-related merger deals have been unveiled, setting in motion what could turn out to be a long awaited mini-boom in activity. But can it last? So far, all of the transactions entail small- to medium-sized lenders, with most facilitated through “asset purchases” as opposed to stock sales. The one exception is the announcement by the publicly traded EverBank Financial that it’s currently engaged in takeover talks with what it called a “well-respected financial services company.” EverBank, which ranked 40th in originations for the first half of 2016 according to a tally by Inside Mortgage Finance, is...[Includes one data table]

Mortgage Lenders See Plenty of Demand for Originations, Having Trouble Determining Best Option for Servicing

The decline in interest rates after the Brexit vote in late June has boosted mortgage originations in recent weeks and caused problems for holders of mortgage servicing rights, according to industry participants at the California Mortgage Bankers Association’s Western Secondary Market Conference in San Francisco this week. Mike Duncan, a hedge manager at Compass Analytics, said 25 percent of his firm’s clients were over capacity at the end of May and 40 percent were over capacity by the end of June. He predicted that over-capacity rates could go even higher if interest rates stay low, increasing demand for refinances. Compass provides pricing, valuation and interest rate risk-management services. Rob Branthover, a managing director at Mortgage Industry Advisory Corp., added...

Feature Stories

Inside FHA/VA Lending

FHA Bursts over $1 Trillion in June As New Issuance Exceeds Runoff

Despite quickening refinance activity, the FHA single-family market soared over the $1 trillion mark in loans pooled in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities during the second quarter of 2016, according to a new Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis. A record $1.001 trillion of FHA single-family loans made up the lion’s share of collateral backing Ginnie MBS as of the end of June. That was a 1.3 percent increase from the previous quarter and a 5.5 percent gain from the midway point in 2015. Steady growth in FHA loans helped push Ginnie single-family MBS to $1.576 trillion outstanding, topping Freddie Mac for second place in the agency market. The VA loan guaranty program was still the fastest-growing corner of the government-insured market, with total VA loans in Ginnie pools up 3.8 percent from March and 16.7 percent higher than a year ago. The actual amount of FHA and VA loans outstanding is somewhat ... [ 4 charts ]

Inside Nonconforming Markets

Two Harbors, Five Oaks Latest Nonbanks to End Jumbo Conduit Operations

Two Harbors Investment announced this week that it will discontinue its mortgage conduit and securitization operations. The real estate investment trust was the top issuer of jumbo mortgage-backed securities in the first half of 2016, with $628.8 million in volume, according to Inside Nonconforming Markets. Five Oaks Investment also announced that it will stop jumbo conduit activities on Aug. 1. Hatteras Financial, a third jumbo conduit related to a REIT, recently pulled ...

Inside MBS & ABS

Commercial Mortgage Securitization Slumped in 2Q16 as Non-Agency Issuance Hits Four-Year Low

New issuance of non-agency commercial MBS fell dramatically during the second quarter of 2016, more than offsetting a modest uptick in the production of agency multifamily MBS, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. Non-agency CMBS issuance fell to just $12.87 billion in the second quarter, a 29.5 percent drop from the first three months of the year. It was the lowest quarterly output of new CMBS since the second quarter of 2012, when just $10.63 billion of new securities were issued and the market was still finding its legs after the financial meltdown. New CMBS issuance has been...[Includes one data table]

Inside the CFPB

TRID Issues to Require Due Diligence Reviews in MBS

Non-agency mortgage-backed security issuers and investors were getting more comfortable in recent years with third-party due diligence reviews of less than 100 percent of the mortgages in an MBS due to the exceptionally strong performance of new originations. However, analysts at Morningstar Credit Ratings suggest that most non-agency MBS backed by new mortgages will be subject to full reviews due to uncertainty regarding the CFPB’s integrated-disclosure rule under the Truth in Lending Act and the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act, otherwise known as TRID. The reviews help identify and cure compliance issues and protect MBS investors from TRID-related losses. “Most post-crisis transactions carry out due diligence on every loan, and we...

Inside Mortgage Trends

Bulk MSR Sales Heated Up in 2Q16 Along With Surge in Co-issuance

The secondary market in mortgage servicing rights rebounded during the second quarter of 2016 after starting the year with a thud, according to an exclusive Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of mortgage-securities disclosures by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae. The three agencies saw a combined $42.95 billion of MSR change hands in bulk transactions during the second quarter. That was up 20.6 percent from the first quarter, when ... [Includes two data charts]

Inside The GSEs

Nonbanks Continue Gaining Market Share in Servicing

Large depository institutions continued to let their servicing portfolios of loans pooled in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities slowly decline in the second quarter of 2016. A new Inside The GSEs analysis shows that banks, thrifts and credit unions still accounted for the lion’s share of GSE MBS servicing at the end of June. Depositories serviced $2.778 trillion of Fannie and Freddie single-family loans tied to MBS, or 66.6 percent of the total market. But that was down 0.9 percent from the previous quarter during a period when the total servicing of GSE single-family MBS edged slightly higher. Nonbanks, however, .... [includes two charts]


The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury fell to all-time low of 1.34% recently. How much better will originations be at your shop in the second half compared to 1H, if at all?

Better by 1% to 10%.
Better by 11% to 25%.
Off the charts better. Applications are great now.
Worse than 1H, but not by much.
A lot worse. But not sure on the damage.

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