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Volume 16 - Number 10

May 18, 2012

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Buyback Activity Slowed Sharply in 1Q12, But Massive Overhang Remains

Mortgage buybacks may have declined significantly during the first quarter of 2012, but a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis shows that the volume of unresolved repurchase demands continued to set new record highs. Bank call-report data show that financial institutions reported a total of $4.12 billion in mortgage repurchases and indemnifications during the first quarter of this year. That was down 23.0 percent from the fourth quarter of 2011 and the lowest quarterly volume since the beginning of last year. It is particularly encouraging since the first-quarter data...(Includes two data charts)

Lenders Rethink Servicing-Retained Loan Sales

The sharp pullback by wholesale lenders from the correspondent market has forced many originators to reconsider keeping mortgage servicing rights when they sell loans in the secondary market. As Bank of America and other wholesalers shut down their correspondent programs, bids for mortgage servicing rights began to deteriorate, several market participants noted during the Mortgage Bankers Association Secondary Market Conference in New York last week. To many originators, MSR prices don’t reflect the value in the asset given the high credit quality of current production and expected slow...

Portfolio Analyzer Helps Firms Manage Risk

With banks under increased pressure to manage their exposure to risks related to mortgage-backed securities and whole loans, Moody’s Analytics has updated its risk and capital allocation tool so clients can run their mortgage portfolio under various stressed scenarios and get a better handle on potential losses. The latest iteration of the rating service’s Mortgage Portfolio Analyzer features an enhanced framework for modeling stressed macroeconomic scenarios, defaults, prepayments and severities. The tool that Moody’s has put together can “simultaneously benefit institutions that have portfolios of not...

Fed Studies Blunt GSE Role in Meltdown

Two separate working papers by Federal Reserve economists conclude that the two government-sponsored enterprises were not significantly responsible for the financial crisis of 2008, and that GSE mortgage standards had only a “modest impact” on loan terms in the years leading up to the mortgage meltdown. Fed economist Valentin Bolotnyy estimates that only 2.5 percent to 5.0 percent of additional credit to high-risk borrowers was made available to meet the GSEs’ Underserved Area Goals, a subset of the Affordable Housing Goals mandated by Congress in 1992. “The results suggest a small UAG effect and...

Banks Finding Willing ARM Borrowers

Despite the immense popularity of fixed-rate mortgages in an environment of once-in-a-lifetime low interest rates, adjustable-rate mortgages still hold a significant chunk of the mortgage marketplace. In 2011, ARMs accounted for 19 percent of banks’ total loan originations, an American Bankers Association 2012 report on real estate lending showed. Last year’s ABA survey showed that ARM products are still being actively marketed by lenders even though the fixed-rate products dominated the mortgage marketplace. ARM lending is extremely popular with community banks, which hold such loans in...

New Lender Makes 1st Loan After 7 Months

Seven months after launching as a new wholesale and retail mortgage firm with national ambitions, Bexil American Mortgage originated its first loan, highlighting the current barriers to entry in the mortgage industry. The company, founded by industry veteran John Robbins, has obtained 18 state licenses with others pending, as well as approval from the Department of Housing and Urban Development, the FHA, Veteran’s Administration and the Department of Agriculture. Although he has started and sold two previous mortgage companies, he said “it’s a significantly different environment. It’s been more challenging...

Reg Burden Keeps Industry From Tech Upgrades

Because the mortgage industry is so focused on staying on top of regulatory changes, adopting new technology has taken a back seat, according to a vendor of a cloud-based management tool. “When you’re up to your ankles in alligators, it’s easy to forget your goal is to drain the swamp,” said Brian Coester, CEO of Coester Appraisal Group. This year, the company launched Cloud Control, a web-based management technology that integrates different aspects of the appraisal process – from compliance to social media to real-time data – in a cloud-based system. “There’s a huge backlog in terms of what people...

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Are current mortgage underwriting standards too tough?

Yes, they don’t reflect current market conditions and need to be adjusted to allow borrowers with below 700 FICO scores and smaller downpayments to qualify for mortgages.
Yes, and something needs to be done to significantly reduce repurchase or buyback risk so that lenders don’t apply even tougher underwriting overlays.
No, the standards are appropriate given current risks and the major default problems the mortgage market has experienced over the past several years.

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