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Volume 2014 - Number 7

February 21, 2014

Transition Away from GSEs Likely to Take at Least 10 Years with Non-Agency Funding Difficult to Raise Quickly

The capital markets risk-sharing transactions completed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in the past year are seen by some as a model for reform of the government-sponsored enterprises. However, the GSEs are taking on significantly more risk in the transactions than the non-agency first-loss requirements contemplated in legislation pending in Congress. Analysts at Barclays Capital project that after Congress approves mortgage-finance reform legislation, it would take at least 10 years to transition smoothly to a new system. Bills in Congress contemplate a five-year transition timeline, but raising enough private capital to fund the new system in that timeframe could be difficult. Industry analysts predict...

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This weekly covers the secondary mortgage market, including mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities.



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After the November elections, how long will it take for a new Congress and White House to pass GSE reform legislation?

I’m confident a bill will be passed the first year.


2 to 3 years. GSE reform is complicated.


Sadly it won’t happen in a Clinton or Trump first term.


Not in my lifetime.


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