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Volume 2014 - Number 32

August 15, 2014

MBS Prices May Rise Further, Thanks to Concern About Economic Impact of the Ukraine ‘Situation’

MBS investors have been enjoying a nice little rally of late thanks to what analysts call “geopolitical” concerns, namely the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. But how much further will bond prices rise and rates fall? It all depends on whom you ask. “We’ll see 2 percent on the long bond before 3 percent,” said Christopher Whalen, senior managing director of Kroll Bond Rating Agency. Over the past few weeks, MBS prices – based on the Fannie Mae 3.5 percent coupon – have neared...

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This weekly covers the secondary mortgage market, including mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities.



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After the November elections, how long will it take for a new Congress and White House to pass GSE reform legislation?

I’m confident a bill will be passed the first year.


2 to 3 years. GSE reform is complicated.


Sadly it won’t happen in a Clinton or Trump first term.


Not in my lifetime.


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