Home Prices Stabilize in August as Homebuyer Traffic Slows, Latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance Survey Reveals

WASHINGTON DC (September 20) – Home prices showed signs of stabilizing in August, according to the latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance Monthly Survey of Real Estate Market Conditions. Importantly, prices for all three categories of distressed properties – damaged REO, move-in ready REO and short sale – ticked upward last month, while prices for non-distressed properties were flat.

Meanwhile, leading housing activity indicators such as first-time homebuyer traffic, current homeowner traffic, and investor traffic all declined, indicating reduced homebuyer demand.

“We’re in transition,” commented Thomas Popik, research director for Campbell Surveys. “Individual homeowners listing non-distressed properties and mortgage servicers listing distressed properties are holding out for prices established before the end of the tax credit. Meanwhile, only a few homebuyers are willing to transact at these prices – and these are the transactions going into the averages. That’s why we saw such declines in traffic and volume in today’s market,” he noted.

Average prices for damaged REO rose a healthy 6.3% from July to August, while prices for move-in ready REO rose 2.5%. Prices for short sales, another category of distressed property, rose 3.8%. Meanwhile, average prices for non-distressed properties were nearly level, showing a slight 0.9% decline.

Individual real estate agents responding to the survey commented about hold-out sellers. “We are seeing that sellers of non-distressed properties who have their houses/condos priced fairly are strongly resisting low-ball offers even to the point of not countering. Informed buyers are recognizing quality deals and moving forward, the uninformed are looking for the deals that are touted on Good Morning America or the Today show,” reported a real estate agent in Florida. “Our market has been remarkably stable over the last six months, with the exception of sales falling under the tax credit allowance…prices continued to stay stable or even rose,” added an agent in California.

At the same time, comments from real estate agents indicate that buyer interest is falling. “It's like we hit a brick wall. The market has almost come to a standstill. First part of the year was great and we actually saw a slight increase in home values. Now listings are reducing their prices – if we can even get an offer, it's a low offer,” commented an agent in Indiana. “The phone stopped ringing after April 31, 2010. No one shows up to open houses,” complained another  agent in California.

The Campbell index for first-time homebuyer traffic fell from 32.5 in July to 29.3 in August; this index had registered as high as 63.5 as recently as April. Current homeowner traffic fell from 41.0 in July to 37.3 in August; this index had registered at 55.2 as recently as April.

The Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance Monthly Survey of Real Estate Market Conditions surveys more than 3,000 real estate agents nationwide each month and provides up-to-date intelligence on home sales and mortgage usage patterns.

For more information on the survey contact: John Campbell at Campbell Surveys, (202) 363-2069, john@campbellsurveys.com.






The year is almost 75% done. How is mortgage origination volume at your shop?

We will fund about the same as we did in 2016.
We will fund more than last year – by a little.
We will fund more than last year – by a lot.
We will fund less than last year – by a little.
We will fund less than last year – by a lot.

vote to see results