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Volume 22 - Number 1

January 5, 2018

Downloads Available: Mortgage Origination Forecasts: December 2017


More of the Same in 2018? Production and Profits Expected to Drop Again

Industry economists and mortgage lenders widely expect 2018 to look a lot like 2017: slowing production volume, a further shift toward purchase-mortgage lending and more pressure on profits. The average of mortgage origination forecasts from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Mortgage Bankers Association indicates that production will total $1.688 trillion this year, a 4.8 percent drop from 2017. The refinance sector will take the biggest hit ... [Includes one data chart]

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Poll

With mortgage production down noticeably this year from 2017, how many lenders might disappear via M&A or failure during the next 12 months?

10% or less. It’s not that bad out there.
11% to 25%. It’s a challenging market.
25% to 40%. It’s going to be very ugly.
No opinion.

vote to see results