MBS & ABS Performance

Browse articles from all of our Newsletters related to MBS & ABS Performance.

February 5, 2016 - Inside MBS & ABS

Interest Rate Step-Ups on Modified Mortgages a Modest Credit Negative for RMBS, Moody’s Says

The expected increase in interest rates on some previously modified home mortgages is a slight credit negative for RMBS performance because these loans will re-default at a higher rate, according to analysts at Moody’s Investors Service. However, higher default rates will have only a modest effect on subprime and Alt A RMBS, because only a small percentage of outstanding subprime and Alt A mortgage loans are positioned to experience future rate step-ups. In their research, the analysts found that subprime and Alt A modified loans become delinquent more frequently after a rate step-up. “Modified subprime and Alt A loans with a demonstrated performance history of four to five years become delinquent at a significantly higher rate after a step-up in interest rates than do loans of a similar type and vintage that have not stepped up,” said the analysts in a new report released this week. According to their data, in July 2015, only 2 percent of the modified re-performing subprime loans became...


February 5, 2016 - Inside MBS & ABS

Jefferies and Two Nonbank Lenders Team Up on Planned MBS Backed by Warehouse Facility for Agency Loans

Jefferies Funding is underwriting a securitization of a revolving warehouse facility for agency mortgages originated by two nonbanks. The $225.0 million Station Place Securitization Trust 2016-1 received provisional Aaa ratings this week from Moody’s Investors Service. The rating service said the transaction is based on a “back-to-back” repo structure, with the three classes of notes scheduled to be paid off one year after issuance. The proceeds from the sale of the notes will be used by the issuer to purchase eligible mortgages and participation certificates from the repo seller. The revolving warehouse facility will be sponsored...


February 4, 2016 - Inside Mortgage Finance

Moody’s Upgrades MGIC, Radian to Investment Grade; NAIC’s Proposed Capital Rules Create Uncertainty

For the first time since October 2008, Moody’s Investors Service upgraded two top private mortgage insurance companies to investment grade due to strong performance of new insurance written, cost savings and fewer losses. However, risk factors, including proposed capital regulations from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, could adversely impact the ratings. Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. and Radian Guaranty now have Baa3 ratings from Moody’s, although other rating servicers appear disinclined to follow. Both MIs continue to be rated below investment grade by Standard & Poor’s. The improved ratings come...


January 29, 2016 - Inside MBS & ABS

Conduit CMBS Leverage Rising, Moody’s Finds, CRE Collateral Keeps Improving, S&P Says

The credit quality of U.S. conduit/fusion commercial MBS kept degrading during the fourth quarter of 2015, while conduit loan leverage is rising and is expected to continue to do so, according to a new report from Moody’s Investors Service. Conduit loan leverage as measured by the Moody’s Loan to Value (MLTV) ratio ticked upward from 118.2 percent in the third quarter last year to 118.9 percent in the fourth quarter. This is the third time in which that metric has topped the pre-crisis peak level of 117.5 percent, the ratings service said. Further, the conduit loan MLTV rose...


January 22, 2016 - Inside MBS & ABS

Rating Services Differ on Risks Posed by Rent-to- Own Securitization as First Deal Comes to Market

The first security backed by proceeds from properties that have “rent-to-own” agreements has caused some divergence among rating services. Home Partners of America is preparing to issue a $508.88 million deal, which received preliminary AAA ratings from two firms. Moody’s Investors Service and Morningstar Credit Ratings issued presale reports on Home Partners of America 2016-1 last week. Kroll Bond Rating Agency followed with a warning that rent-to-own deals present more risks than single-family rental securitizations. The collateral for the security is...


January 15, 2016 - Inside FHA/VA Lending

HECM-Backed NPL Deal’s Strong Points Help Overcome Downside

The first rated securitization backed by nonperforming Home Equity Conversion Mortgage loans contains strong, credit-positive features that outweigh the credit risk associated with nonperforming loans, according to a Moody’s Investors Service analysis. The effect of some of these positive features on the performance of Nationstar HECM Loan Trust 2015-2, however, depends on whether Nationstar Mortgage remains as servicer for the transaction, said the rating agency. Nationstar has a servicer rating of B2/Stable from Moody’s and is also the transaction’s sponsor. Nationstar issued NHLT 2015-2 in November 2015 and by the end of December, the first remittance report showed strong initial performance. Credit enhancement to the Aaa (sf)-rated notes increased by 1.69 percent in the first month of operations, Moody’s noted. “As long as Nationstar continues to be the ...


January 15, 2016 - Inside FHA/VA Lending

Ginnie Mae Issuance Hits New High In Securitized VA, FHA, RHS Loans

Issuers of Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities pushed a record $435.80 billion of government-insured loans through the program during 2015, according to a new Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis and ranking. Last year’s total Ginnie MBS issuance topped the previous record of $429.50 billion issued during 2009. The $435.80 billion total for 2015 includes securitization of FHA home-equity conversion mortgages and other single-family loans guaranteed by FHA, the VA, and the Department of Agriculture rural housing program from Ginnie pool-level MBS data that are not truncated. Production in 2015 hit its high-water mark in the third quarter with $128.23 billion in issuance, and then fell 18.0 percent in the final three months of the year. Purchase mortgages continued to account for most Ginnie business in 2015, 58.0 percent of the agency’s forward-mortgage securitizations. But a huge factor in the ... [ Charts ]


January 15, 2016 - Inside Nonconforming Markets

Less Than Full Documentation Not Necessarily Bad

The performance risks posed by a new breed of alternative-documentation mortgages are likely much lower than the mayhem caused by reduced-documentation mortgages originated before the financial crisis, according to Moody’s Investors Service. While most lenders verify the borrower’s income and assets used to qualify for mortgages, some non-agency lenders are willing to originate loans with less than full documentation. Lenders allowing for alt-doc underwriting typically ...


January 15, 2016 - Inside MBS & ABS

Single-Family Rental Property Securitizations Evolve, But Net Operating Income Needs Work

Interest in the single-family rental market has increased since being introduced as a viable asset classes several years ago, but some say further growth may depend on the sector’s ability to significantly improve operating efficiencies. There have been 27 single-family rental securitizations to date. In 2015, issuance of single-family rental deals was $6.72 billion, up from $6.61 billion a year earlier, according to Morningstar Credit Ratings. Although capital expenses were higher than ...


January 15, 2016 - Inside MBS & ABS

MBS Prices Unexpectedly Move Higher; New Benchmark Security on the Horizon?

When the Federal Reserve hiked short-term rates back in mid-December, mortgage rates were expected to increase as well and keep heading north in the new year. But thanks to deep concerns about economic growth in China – not to mention plunging oil prices – all bets are now off. This past week, the price on the benchmark Fannie Mae 3.5 percent security increased by 44 basis points, according to figures compiled by MBS Quoteline. As Inside MBS & ABS went to press ...


January 8, 2016 - Inside MBS & ABS

Auto ABS Vulnerable to Rising Interest Rates, Credit Card ABS Performance Healthy, Fitch Says

The prospects for consumer ABS in 2016 are a bit mixed. Auto ABS – especially subprime – appear susceptible to the Federal Reserve’s promised raising of interest rates this year and beyond, but credit card ABS are strong and performing well. “Rising interest rates could pressure U.S. auto ABS transactions, especially first on subprime deals,” analysts at Fitch Ratings said in a recent client note. While they expect last month’s initial rate increase by the Fed to have only a marginal near-term impact on borrowers, they said the plan to raise rates gradually over four years could increase the monthly debt burden on auto loan borrowers. “Although the rate increases are expected to affect the entire market, Fitch believes...


January 8, 2016 - Inside MBS & ABS

SEC Finds a Number of Issues Involving Rating Services, Directs Firms to Correct Problems

Exams by the Securities and Exchange Commission in 2015 uncovered a number of problems at rating services large and small, according to a report released by the SEC at the end of December. However, the firms weren’t identified by name because the exams aren’t public. The report is a laundry list of findings involving the 10 nationally recognized statistical rating organizations, six of which are involved in the MBS and ABS markets. The findings came from exams that focused on activities in 2014. Offending rating services generally were referred to solely based on their size, with Fitch Ratings, Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor’s referred to as “larger” rating services and the other companies referred to as “smaller” rating services. The SEC said...


January 8, 2016 - Inside MBS & ABS

The Nonprime MBS Market Is on a Mini Roll, But Can a Rated Deal Get Done This Year?

Four nonprime MBS backed by newly-originated residential loans came to market during the last four months of 2015, but none of deals were rated, a situation that could change in the new year. In a recent interview with Inside MBS & ABS, John Hsu, head of capital markets for Angel Oak Capital, said his company hopes to get a rated deal done in 2016, believing such a milestone would help move the nascent market forward. “We need...


January 1, 2016 - Inside FHA/VA Lending

Ginnie Mae Securitization of USDA Loans Up During First Nine Months

A total of $13.6 billion of rural home loans backed by the U.S. Department of Agriculture were securitized during the first nine months of 2015, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of agency data. An estimated $5.1 billion of USDA home loans were delivered into Ginnie Mae pools in the third quarter, up 22.8 percent from the prior quarter. In contrast, the nine-month securitization volume fell 4.4 percent from the same period of the prior year. Nine of the top 10 USDA loan securitizers reported quarter-over-quarter increases. Top-ranked Chase Home Finance maintained its lead over other USDA loan securitizers with $4.2 billion in loans securitized during the nine-month period, down 4.8 percent from the previous year and up 32.8 percent on a quarterly basis. Chase’s nine-month USDA volume translated into a 31.0 percent market share. Second-place Wells Fargo funneled $1.7 billion in USDA loans into ... [ chart ]


January 1, 2016 - Inside FHA/VA Lending

HECM Endorsements Up in 2015, Increase Due to Program Changes

FHA lenders funded $12.3 billion in new Home Equity Conversion Mortgage loans during the first nine months of 2015, up a hefty 22.2 percent from the same period in the prior year, according to Inside FHA/VA Lending’s analysis of agency data. Likewise, HECM endorsements increased 17.3 percent to $4.5 billion in the third quarter from $3.9 billion in the prior quarter. This was the highest HECM endorsements have been since the second quarter of 2013, when they totaled $4.1 billion. Purchase loans accounted for 85.8 percent of all HECM originations over the nine-month period. The majority of borrowers favored adjustable-rate HECMs over fixed-rate HECMs, which accounted for only 14.8 percent of HECM transactions. In addition, the initial principal amount at loan originations totaled $7.3 billion, up from $4.6 billion midway through 2015. The volume increase is attributable to program changes implemented ... [1 chart]


January 1, 2016 - Inside FHA/VA Lending

Ginnie Pools Likely to See Rising Share of VA Collateral in 2016

Investors should see a higher share of VA collateral in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities pools due to increasing VA loan originations, according to Deutsche Bank analysts. Given their rising share of VA collateral, new Ginnie pools are likely to have worse convexity than most of those originated in 2015, analysts said. “VA loans tend to prepay faster than FHA loans when in the money as VA loans have larger loan sizes, higher FICO scores and a more efficient streamline refi program that requires a minimum three months seasoning,” they observed. In addition, analysts expect the population of younger veterans to surge approximately 36 percent over the next five years. “[As such], there will be a healthy supply of new VA originations eligible for pooling,” they said. As a result, the share of FHA relative to VA collateral in new Ginnie II pools will likely decrease, they said. Such a trend has manifested itself slowly as ...


Poll

A lot has been written lately regarding loan closing delays tied to the new TRID rule. What’s been the average delay at your lending shop, if at all? (Report in business days, not calendar.)

TRID has caused no delays whatsoever because we were prepared.

30%

1 to 4 days.

27%

5 to 10 days.

13%

11 to 15 days. It’s been a nightmare.

11%

We’re too embarrassed to tell you.

20%

Housing Pulse