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Volume 15 - Number 24

November 25, 2011

Downloads Available: Mortgage Industry Economy Forecasts - up to 4Q12


More of the Same in 2012, Mixed Forecasts for 2013

Total single-family originations could drop another 20 percent or more in 2012, following a similar decline this year, according to mortgage industry economists. The consensus forecast from Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Mortgage Bankers Association is that $1.28 trillion in home loans will be originated in 2011, a decline of 22 percent from last year’s estimated volume. But 2011 will prove to be just a prelude to another sharp decline in production next year. Despite the fact that mortgage rates are expected to stay at...

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Poll

Are current mortgage underwriting standards too tough?

Yes, they don’t reflect current market conditions and need to be adjusted to allow borrowers with below 700 FICO scores and smaller downpayments to qualify for mortgages.
Yes, and something needs to be done to significantly reduce repurchase or buyback risk so that lenders don’t apply even tougher underwriting overlays.
No, the standards are appropriate given current risks and the major default problems the mortgage market has experienced over the past several years.

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