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Volume 2012 - Number 2

January 13, 2012

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Agency MBS Issuance Up Sharply in 4Q11; Ginnie and Freddie See Shifts in Market Share

Agency single-family MBS issuance ended 2011 with a bang as the three agencies jostled for market share, a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis reveals. Ginnie Mae and Freddie Mac ended the year with nearly identical total issuance, with Freddie seeing a slightly larger decline from 2010 levels. Fannie Mae, however, recorded a much smaller drop in total production last year, boosting its share of the agency market. Freddie could not keep pace with Fannie’s surging MBS issuance volume during the fourth quarter. In December, Freddie accounted for just 22.7 percent of combined production by the two...

Redwood Readies First Jumbo MBS Deal Of 2012, Slightly Higher Credit Support

Redwood Trust is getting ready to issue its first jumbo MBS of 2012 backed by a more diverse pool of prime mortgages than the company’s previous transaction. Fitch Ratings said it plans to give AAAsf ratings to the senior bonds in Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-1, which will enjoy 8.25 percent credit enhancement from subordinate classes. That’s a stiffer credit enhancement level than on Redwood’s two jumbo deals from last year, which had 7.40 percent and 7.50 percent support levels at issuance. Two factors appeared to play the biggest part in the higher credit support levels: more diverse collateral and more...

Freddie Tops in Agency REMIC Production For 2011, Goldman Leads in Underwriting

Freddie Mac had a difficult time keeping up with Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae in mortgage pass-through production last year, but the government-sponsored enterprise continued to out-produce the other agencies in structured mortgage securitizations. Freddie issued a total of $154.7 billion in single-family real estate mortgage investment conduits in 2011, which represented 41.0 percent of the agency REMIC market. While the overall market was down 17.8 percent from the previous year, Freddie increased its REMIC issuance by 24.7 percent. Fannie managed a modest 1.6 percent increase from the...

SEC Changes Policy to Require Defendants to Admit Wrongdoing if They’ve Pled Guilty in Parallel Case

The Securities and Exchange Commission has adopted a modified policy that will require defendants in settlement agreements to admit to wrongdoing if they have already pled guilty in parallel criminal cases. “Following a review by senior enforcement staff that began this spring and separate discussions with the commissioners over the last several months, last week we modified our settlement language for cases involving criminal convictions where a defendant has admitted violations of the criminal law,” said SEC Enforcement Director Robert Khuzami.The new policy does not require admissions...

Federal Reserve Policy Paper Cites ‘Substantial’ Costs To Principal Reduction While Benefits ‘Hard to Quantify’

Reducing monthly payments to a sustainable level for distressed borrowers who are significantly underwater on their mortgages may require principal reductions, in addition to interest rate concessions and loan term extensions, but pursuing such a policy is not without significant drawbacks, according to a Federal Reserve analysis. In a white paper sent to the banking committees on Capitol Hill last week, the Fed dove into the controversial issue of whether Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should be taking more aggressive steps like principal reduction to help distressed borrowers and shore up...

Subprime and Prime Mortgage Performance Trends Coming More in Line as Collateral Ages

The aging of the subprime and prime mortgages that back the shrinking universe of non-agency MBS is gradually changing the performance trends of these loans, according to analysts speaking at a Fitch Ratings conference in New York this week. Selection bias – changes in the composition of the remaining subprime and prime mortgage pools as borrowers default or refinance – will mean different things for different asset classes, but differences between the two will likely become less pronounced over the next year, analysts said. Grant Bailey, a managing director at Fitch, explained that in many ways...

Prepayments Slow Down as Refis Decline in December, New HARP Will Boost Paydowns in 2012, Analysts Say

Despite lower mortgage rates, MBS prepayment speeds slowed across the board in December, particularly for the recent low coupons, while speeds for higher coupons were up slightly, according to securitization analysts. Researchers varied slightly in their estimates, saying speeds for 30-year Fannie Mae securities slowed 2-6 conditional prepayment rate for the recent low coupons (3.5-4.5 percent from 2011 and 2010). Barclays Capital analysts attributed the slowdown to reduced refinancing activity during the December holiday season. The weighted average CPR for all Fannie Mae MBS declined to...

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Are current mortgage underwriting standards too tough?

Yes, they don’t reflect current market conditions and need to be adjusted to allow borrowers with below 700 FICO scores and smaller downpayments to qualify for mortgages.
Yes, and something needs to be done to significantly reduce repurchase or buyback risk so that lenders don’t apply even tougher underwriting overlays.
No, the standards are appropriate given current risks and the major default problems the mortgage market has experienced over the past several years.

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