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Volume 2014 - Number 48

December 19, 2014

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In a Stalled MBS Market, Most of the Heavy Hitters Increased Their Holdings in 3Q14

The outstanding supply of agency single-family MBS continued to grow at a subdued pace during the third quarter of 2014, and the biggest investor classes did most of the heavy lifting funding the market, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. On the supply side, there were $5.632 trillion of single-family MBS guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae outstanding at the end of September. That was up just 0.4 percent from the previous quarter but had enough growth rings to show a 1.2 percent gain from a year ago. As has been the case for the past few years, the Ginnie MBS market grew...[Includes two data chart]

Fed Reinvestment into Agency MBS Continues As Attention Shifts to Eventual Rise in Rates

The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee held its last meeting of the year this week, keeping the federal funds target rate steady and continuing to reinvest principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and MBS into agency MBS and rolling over maturing Treasury securities at auction. Most of the pre-meeting buzz among investors was whether the FOMC would tweak or replace its boilerplate language about waiting “a considerable time” before moving to end its zero interest rate policy and begin “normalizing” rates. It did...

MBS Prices Hit Highs for the Year as Gas Plummets; Time to Get Out of the Market?

Defying the expectations of most industry analysts, investors have bid up the price of agency MBS over the past two weeks, pushing values into nosebleed territory. According to figures compiled by MBS Quoteline, the price of the Fannie Mae 3.50 percent bond recently reached 104.4. “This week and last week we saw new highs,” said Joe Farr, director of sales and marketing for the company. And that has made...

Most Consumer ABS Asset Classes to Hold Up Well In 2015, With Subprime Auto a Question Mark

Wall Street analysts are generally projecting a year of stability for most asset classes in the consumer ABS space for 2015, despite a few more losses and an anticipated increase in interest rates. The one exception might be subprime auto. Analysts at Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services cited a favorable overall environment characterized by a strengthening economy, healthy consumer credit fundamentals, and robust structural protections in ABS transactions. “We expect...

Global Coalition of Securities Regulators Proposes Standards for Simple, Transparent Securities

A coalition of global securities-market regulators proposed criteria late last week to assist the financial industry’s development of “simple, transparent and comparable” securitization structures. The proposed criteria from the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision and the International Organization of Securities Commissions would apply to many types of MBS and ABS. The extent of involvement by the Securities and Exchange Commission regarding the proposed criteria is unclear. The SEC declined to comment on the proposal and the Bank for International Settlements wouldn’t reveal the members of the taskforce that worked to develop it. However, the SEC is a member of IOSCO and the agency noted that standards issued by IOSCO become the benchmark against which an IOSCO member’s regulatory practices are assessed. The BCBS and IOSCO said...

REITs that Focused on Residential MBS See Promise in Commercial MBS Market

Two real estate investment trusts that have focused their efforts on residential MBS recently announced plans to enter the commercial MBS market. The moves come as issuance of residential MBS has been subdued since the financial crisis while issuance of commercial MBS activity has been soaring in recent years. PennyMac Financial Services announced this month that it formed PennyMac Commercial Real Estate Finance. The business will focus on loans that finance multifamily and other commercial real estate with a typical value of under $10 million. PennyMac said it plans for its REIT, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust, to acquire and securitize the commercial mortgages. “The opportunity in this market is...

Bankruptcy Court Refuses to Raise Lehman’s Legacy Reserves, Hearing on JPM’s $4.5B Settlement Begins

A federal bankruptcy judge last week ruled against increasing Lehman Brothers’ reserves for residential MBS claims. The ruling by Judge Shelley Chapman of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York was a setback for investors and trustees who asked the court in August to increase Lehman’s current reserves of $5 billion to $12.1 billion in a bid to force the defunct investment bank to repurchase legacy MBS., according to a Barclay’s Research report. The lawsuit against Lehman alleges...

MBS & ABS Issuance at a Glance

One page of issuance data.

Poll

What will Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s new 97 LTV programs mean for your business?

It will give our business a big boost as there is a lot of pent up demand for the product.
It will have only a minor impact on our overall business as we already are doing high LTV business through FHA and some of our high LTV FHA business is likely to shift to Fannie and Freddie.
It won’t have any impact on our business as we plan to steer clear of all high LTV business – particularly in the GSE market.

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